Commerical real estate has performed terribly, and popular retail REIT (Realty Income (O)) has not been spared. With interest rates now sharply higher and shopping habits permanently changed, a lot of investors see more risk than opportunity. In this report, we review Realty Income’s business strategy, valuation, 5.8% dividend yield (paid monthly) and the very big risk factors it is currently facing. We conclude with our strong opinion on investing.
Realty Income: Only the Strong Survive
Realty Income shares are down 15% this year while the S&P 500 is up 15%. Aside from the strong performance of the “Super 7” mega-cap stocks that have driven the index higher, Realty Income (and REITs in general) have been plagued by higher interest rates and a changing real estate landscape. In this report, we review Realty Income’s business strategy (i.e. growth through acquisition), the big macroeconomic and secular headwinds the industry faces, dividend safety, valuation and risks. We conclude with our strong opinion on investing.
100+ Big-Yield REITs: Terrible Performance, Few Attractive Opportunities
The following table includes data on over 100 big-yield REITs, sorted by REIT industries (and then market cap). And as you can see, recent performance has been mostly terrible with 2-year total returns very negative, and lots of REITs sitting near 52-week lows. The carnage has clearly been worse for some industries more than others, and short-interest remains high in certain areas (indicating lots of investors believe there is still more pain to come). In this quick note, we briefly review the REIT market by sub-industries and then highlight a very select few big-dividend REITs that appear attractive and worth considering for investment.
Realty Income: 50 Big-Dividend REITs Compared
Realty Income (known as the monthly dividend company) has been a safe haven this year as markets have declined sharply but Realty Income’s share price has remained roughly flat. However, some investors are left wondering if Realty Income still offers an attractive valuation or if it’s time to shift new investment dollars elsewhere. We offer our opinion on the relative attractiveness of the shares, including a discussion of business strategy, the risks and the current valuation as compared to 50 other big-dividend REITs.
Realty Income: A 4.0% Yield, Monthly Pay, Dividend Juggernaut
Realty Income (O) is nicknamed “The Monthly Dividend Company” for good reason. This REIT yields 4.0% and pays dividends monthly. In fact, it has increased its dividend in 95 consecutive quarters and it has made 614 consecutive monthly dividend payments to investors. In this report, we review the business, the upcoming merger/spin-off, dividend safety, valuation, and risks, and then conclude with our opinion on investing.
Realty Income, Big Monthly Dividend: COVID Challenges
Realty Income is one of the most renowned dividend stocks. Its monthly dividend track record has earned it the nickname ‘The Monthly Dividend Company’. It has made 604 consecutive monthly payments and raised its dividend for 94 quarters in a row. Since March 2020 (when COVID-19 hit the world), the company has raised its dividend twice. This signals to some the recession-resistant nature of its property portfolio and superior management skills. But will the company sail through this crisis like it has in the past? This article reviews the health of the business, valuation, risks, dividend safety, and concludes with our opinion about investing.
Realty Income: COVID-19 Big Loser or Big Winner? Here's Our Opinion
Realty Income, self-proclaimed “The Monthly Dividend Company,” is a revered dividend aristocrat with a 5.2% dividend yield and it has delivered for many investors for decades. But it’s still a retail REIT, and the impacts of COVID-19 social distancing are different than anything the company has experienced in the past. The shares have sold off hard, and some investors are left wondering if this a big warning or a big opportunity? This article reviews the health of the business, valuation, risks, dividend safety, and concludes with our opinion on investing.
Market Too Hot? Top 10 Big Dividend REITs Worth Considering
With the S&P 500 recently hitting new all time highs, some investors fear we are overheating. One way to take a little risk off the table is by investing in attractive big-dividend REITs, which tend to rise and fall less with the overall market, but keep paying those big dividends throughout if you select them right. Despite, some analysts arguments that even REITs are overheating, many of them remain a much safer bet (with much higher income) compared to the overall market. This article addresses REIT valuation concerns, as well as overall market concerns in light of the Fed’s changing interest rate posture and where we seem to be (very late) in the current economic cycle. We conclude with our Top 10 Big-Dividend REITs worth considering.
Is Your Portfolio's Beta Risk Appropriate? + Attractive Investment Ideas
If you’re going to manage some/all of your own investments, you ought to have some idea of your portfolio’s beta risk (so you can make sure it is appropriate for your goals). This week’s Weekly shares the updated performance data for each of our current holdings (as well as our “Contenders List”), and we’ve also included each position’s “beta” risk to help you gauge your risk exposure relative to your long-term investment goals. We’ve also highlighted a couple attractive investment opportunities.
Realty Income’s 3.7% Yield: Still Investable Considering New International Forage?
Realty Income (O) is a popular monthly dividend paying REIT that has recently started to invest outside the US. This article considers whether this international forage is a good idea or if the company is now desperate for opportunities. We also consider the company’s portfolio, balance sheet, competitive advantages, dividend safety, valuation, and conclude with our opinion on whether or not Realty Income is still an attractive investment opportunity for long-term income-focused investors.
Simon Property: 5 Popular High Yield REITs, Due For A Pullback
As the market has climbed dramatically this year, so too have many popular high yield REITs, such as SPG, O, WELL, VTR, OHI, STAG and WPC. And despite the Fed’s recently decreased interest rate hawkishness, it is still concerning to see these popular “safe haven” REITs did NOT fall nearly as hard as the rest of the market during Q4 and their share prices & valuations are now unusually high. When sentiment changes, these popular REITS are due for a pullback, perhaps a big one. This article reviews valuations and concludes with our opinions.
100 High-Yield Stocks Down Big Last Week: These 10 Are Worth Considering
Market fear spiked on Friday (the VIX was up 28.5%), and the Dow Jones experienced its biggest weekly decline in over 2 years (-4.1%). Interestingly, many higher yielding stocks also sold off significantly, and this article highlights ten that we believe are attractive and worth considering, especially following the selloff.
10 Big Dividend REITs: 5 Attractive Value-Plays, 5 Dangerous Value-Traps!
If you’re an income-focused contrarian investor, big-dividend REITs may have caught your attention this year considering they’re underperformed the market (SPY) significantly. This week’s Blue Harbinger Weekly shares our brief views on ten big-dividend REITs, and without sharing which ones are attractive “value plays” and which ones are dangerous “value traps,” here are the ten: CBL & Associates (CBL), Taubman Centers (TCO), Realty Income (O), Uniti Group (UNIT), Washington Prime (WPG), Tanger Factory Outlet (SKT), Sabra Health (SBRA), Pennsylvania REIT (PEI), and Ventas Healthcare (VTR), and General Growth Properties (GGP).
Realty Income: Big Monthly Dividend, Struggling Share Price
Realty Income (O) pays a big monthly dividend (+4.7%), but its price is down, and many investors are not happy. The company has a strong track record of success since it was first listed on the NYSE in 1994, but what has Realty Income done lately? Considering the horrible 1-year performance for the Real Estate sector, we intend for this to be the first in a series of REIT articles in the coming weeks. This article reviews Realty Income’s financial position, its current valuation, and our outlook for its future performance.
...Don’t Chase the Highest Yield, Own the Healthiest Yield (Part II)
As a follow up to “part I” in this series, this “part II” article highlights more attractive healthy-dividend companies. We’re sticking with the theme that investors should NOT blindly chase after the highest yielding securities, but rather focus on those with the healthiest yields. We highlight a handful of healthy yielders including one that we own in our Blue Harbinger Disciplined Growth portfolio.