The Blue Harbinger Weekly — Blue Harbinger Investment Research

Top 10 Big-Yield Bond CEFs and BDCs

This has been a terrible year for bonds. As interest rates have risen sharply, bond prices have fallen sharply (and lending in general has been tumultuous). Both Bond Closed-End Funds (“CEFs”) and Business Development Companies (“BDCs”) have been impacted dramatically (i.e. their prices have plummeted as rates have risen). However, this has created select opportunities offering bigger than normal yields and higher than normal price appreciation potential. In this report, we offer an overview of Bond CEF and BDC opportunities, we share important data on over 50 of them, and then we countdown our top 10 big-yield Bond CEFs and BDCs.

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Disruptive Healthcare Stock: Improving Numbers, But Any Path to Profitability?

Shares of this technology-based healthcare provider are up significantly following quarterly earnings, but this once famous (now infamous) “pandemic darling” is down 80% from its recent highs (as post-covid life resumes) and questions remain as to whether there is any legitimate path to profitability. The company reported a $0.45 loss per share for Q3, it beat on top and bottom lines, but slightly lowered full year guidance. We offer our opinion on investing in this report.

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Microsoft Earnings: Temporary or Permanent Slowdown?

Microsoft announced earnings Tuesday after the close, and the shares are reacting negatively. The company beat earnings expectations and topped revenue estimates, but provided weak guidance. Is this a sign of bigger fundamental problems for Microsoft or just a temporary blip on the long-term radar?

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Despite Social Pressures: This Dividend-Growth Energy Company Delivers

In the face of intense pressure to direct more cash to renewables, this blue chip energy stock has remained steadfast in its commitment to oil and gas. And this Friday’s earnings announcement will likely prove once again this strategy pays dividends (big, healthy, growing dividends). In this report, we review the company’s business strategy (and how it differs from peers), strong cash flows, dividend safety, valuation and big risks, including a special focus on social and political risks (i.e. the “woke mob”). We conclude with our strong opinion on who might want to own the shares and who might want to stay away.

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Diversified Blue Chip REIT: Despite Big Risks, 6% Yield Is Attractive

When it comes to big-dividend REITs, the one we review in this report is a stalwart favorite. Having increased its annual dividend (paid quarterly) for over ten years straight, and now trading down 20% in the last month, investors are wondering if they should initiate a position (or even buy more shares). In this report, we review the business and then consider the current valuation versus two big risks. We conclude with our strong opinion on investing.

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Attractive Commercial REIT: 6.7% Yield, Discounted Price

Shares of the commercial REIT we review in this report have declined sharply this year (and the dividend yield has mathematically risen to 6.7%) as investors have shifted from optimistic to pessimistic. However, there are reasons to believe the sell off has gone too far. In this report, we review the risks (including single-tenant properties, economically sensitive property types, and high short interest), and the opportunities. We conclude with our strong opinion on investing.

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Big Dividends: Top 10 Healthiest (6% Yields and Up)

With the market in disarray this year (stemming from inflation, central bank policy changes and now the threat of an ugly recession) a lot of investors are increasingly looking to dividend stocks for safety. With that trend in mind, we are sharing the 10 most “financially healthy” big dividends (yields of 6% and up). We conclude with our strong opinion on how you should, and should not, be playing this current market environment.

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Google Stock: Market Puking

Stalwart, blue-chip, US stock market juggernaut, and Google parent, Alphabet (GOOGL), made a new 52-week low this week. This is a company that has over 10% revenue growth, a seemingly insurmountable ecosystem and moat, and now trades at only 10 times forward EV to EBITDA. In this report, we review Google’s business model, revenue growth, capital allocation, current valuation and big risks. We conclude with our strong opinion on investing.

AGNC: Temping 17.8% Yield, Compelling Near-Term Upside

AGNC preannounced a significant decline to its book value for the third quarter, and is now a very tempting 17% yield. Especially considering some uncertainty has been removed and higher interest rates will benefit the net interest income going forward. However, there are massive market cycle risks (and opportunities) that AGNC investors need to navigate. In this report, we review AGNC’s business model, its new book value, price appreciation potential, dividend safety and long-term fundamentals. We conclude with our strong opinion about investing.

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Clean Energy Solutions: Buy the Dip, If You Can Call It That

What started out as a microinverter technology (to help efficiently transform sunlight into energy) is rapidly growing into a one-stop-shop home-energy-solutions and technology company. Specifically, as the company’s microinverter business continues to grow rapidly (and gain market share from the other main industry competitor’s inferior technology), the product line continues to expand (now including batteries, EV charging, and impressive industry-leading smart software) into a massive secular trend (cleaner energy) opportunity (the SAM, or “serviceable addressable market,” is estimated to be $23 billion by 2025, versus the company’s $1.7 billion in total revenue over the last 12 months).

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Attractive High-Growth BDC: 12.0% Yield, Compelling Price

If you are an income-focused investor, the BDC we review in this report may be interesting to you. It has a unique business strategy and a compelling 12.0% distribution yield. We dig into the details (including the nuances of the strategy, valuation, the current market environment, dividend safety and risks), and then conclude with our strong opinion on investing.

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Attractive Cybersecurity Stock: High Growth, Profitable, On Sale

The cybersecurity business we review in this report is attractive for a variety of reasons, including its high growth, large total addressable market and attractive valuation. In particular, the shares have sold off hard as the low-interest-rate bubble has burst, but unlike other “pandemic darlings” this one is actually very profitable and generates powerful cash flow (therefore it won’t face the same growth-capital-raising challenges as others that will be paralyzed by higher borrowing rates, lower stock prices for new share issuances, and a slowed economy). Its valuation multiple has been crushed, but its business and earnings keep growing—and likely will for many years to come. We currently own shares.

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No, US Treasuries Do Not Still Yield Close to 0.0%

An almost constant refrain from frustrated income-focused investors and savers alike over the last few years is that interest rates have been close to zero. And now with all the talk of inflation and rising rates, some investors have failed to notice that shorter-term US treasury bills and notes (which are guaranteed by the US government) are now offering somewhat compelling yields. This quick note shares a few important details.

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