As fear of more bank defaults climbed over the last month, so has the yield in our High Income NOW portfolio, currently sitting at 10.2%. There was a “flight to quality” in dividend blue chips, while short-term treasury yields climbed (the 6-month currently yields over 5%), keeping the yield curve very inverted (a sign of looming recession) while the Fed may have just completed its final rate hike of 2023. In this report, we countdown our new top 10 “High Income NOW” opportunities (the rankings have changed) as we position the strategy for more big income payments ahead.
Attractive 11.7% Yield Monthly-Pay Bond CEF
If you are seeking big steady income, from a top-shelf manager, that currently trades at a discount to NAV, and may be set for dramatic price appreciation heading into the end of 2023 (as fed rate hikes peak and then are expected to reverse), the 11.7% annual yield (monthly pay) closed-end fund (“CEF”) we review in this report is worth considering.
US Bancorp: 5.6% Yield, 3 Big Risks (Short Seller Edition)
So far this year, US Bancorp (USB) is one of the worst performing stocks in the S&P 500 (it’s down over 20%), and it now offers one of the highest dividend yields (5.6%). And a lot of income-focused contrarian investors are increasingly tempted, especially considering the bank has raised its big dividend for the last twelve consecutive years in a row. After reviewing US Bancorp and its current valuation, we consider three big risks to investors (with a regulatory-induced dividend cut perhaps the biggest, as described by a recent HoldCo short-seller report), and then conclude with our strong opinion on investing.
Ares Commercial Real Estate: It Can Still Get Much Worse for this 16.1% Yield
Members Mailbag: We received an inquiry from a member this week about ACRE (expected to announce earnings on Tues May 2nd). We believe that some investors view this particular mortgage REIT (ACRE) as an attractive contrarian opportunity, considering the shares are down big (-40% over the last year), the yield has mathematically grown to a tempting 16.1%, and it has a well known brand name attached to it (Ares). However, the commercial real estate market is terrible. We share comparative data points on over 100 big-dividend REITs (sorted by sub-industry), dig into some important details on ACRE, and then conclude with our opinion on investing.
Owl Rock: 40 Big-Yield BDCs, Compared
With BDC earnings season set to kick off this week (starting with Ares Capital on Tuesday pre-market), we’ll also be watching Owl Rock closely (set to announce two weeks later). One key metric to watch will be book value as the economy heads towards recession and write-downs could start to more significantly detract from the benefits of rising interest rates. This quick note shares data on 40 big-yield BDC, and digs into Owl Rock in more detail.
Hated 5.9% Yield Dividend-Growth Stock, Attractive
The stock we review in this report is hated. And it is hated for multiple reasons. However, the market is misinterpreting some of the data, and the fear is overdone. After reviewing the details of this impressive dividend aristocrat (including its business, dividend safety, valuation and risks) we conclude with our strong opinion on investing (hint: we currently own shares in our Income Equity portfolio).
Cell Tower REIT: Growing Dividend, Paying Down Debt
The specialty REIT we review in this report focuses mainly on cell towers. The dividend is well covered and has a steady history of increases. Further, the company is virtually guaranteed revenue growth from rent escalators, not to mention the growing secular trends of mobile data usage and the Internet of Things. Further still, the company is working to improve its balance sheet. We review all the details, and then conclude with our opinion on who might want to consider investing.
Ares: 40 Big-Yield BDCs, Silicon Valley Bank Warning
Business Development Companies (“BDCs”) are like banks, only riskier. And some BDCs are heavily concentrated in the venture capital (“VC”) space, just like Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB) that just shuttered its doors as the result of a VC-led bank run. In this report, we review Ares Capital (including its investment industry exposures and risks) and then compare it to 40 other BDCs, including four in particular that are heavily concentrated in the VC space. We conclude with our strong opinion about investing in BDCs, Ares Capital and VC-focused BDCs in particular.
Update: PDI and PTY: Ugly ROC, Buyer Beware
UPDATE: Unbeknownst to many investors, PIMCO’s big-yield funds, PDI and PTY, are including a significant return of capital in their beloved big distributions (and it’s largely hidden through derivative swaps transactions). We reached out to PIMCO for comment, and found their replies (included in this report) concerning. These two big-yield PIMCO funds are simply not as good as many investors believe. Caveat emptor.
PDI and PTY: Ugly ROC, Buyer Beware
The PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund (PDI) and PIMCO Corporate & Income Opportunity Fund (PTY) are absolute favorites among many income-focused investors. They both have long track records (one decade and two decades, respectively) of successfully delivering big monthly income payments (they currently yield 13.5% and 10.6%, respectively) and because they’ve sourced all that big income over the years without the return of capital (“ROC”) that plagues so many other high-income funds. However, a look under the hood reveals that these two PIMCO trophy funds have, in fact, been using ROC to fund their distributions (despite marketing materials that suggest otherwise). In this report, we review all the important details and then conclude with our strong opinion on investing—caveat emptor!
6.1% Yield Bond ETF: Matures in December
Bonds have been a disaster for many investors over the last year. As interest rates have risen, bond prices have fallen, and “safe” bond funds have delivered very negative returns (such as (BND) (HYG) and (PDI), to name a few, see chart below). In this report, we review a bond ETF that pays monthly, offers a 6.1% yield and avoids all the interest rate risk (i.e. if you hold it until maturity in December, your annualized yield to maturity will be 6.1%). We review all the important details and then conclude with our strong opinion on who should consider investing.
CEF: 6.9% Annual Yield, Attractive Strategy
If you are truly a long-term income-focused investor, the closed-end fund (“CEF”) we review in this report is attractive for a variety of reasons. For starters, it offers a 6.9% yield and it trades at a compelling discount to its net asset value (“NAV”). However, we particularly appreciate the fund’s flexible, low-turnover and prudently-concentrated long-term strategy (not to mention its very long-term track record of success). After reviewing these qualities, plus multiple critical risk factors, we conclude with our opinion on why this fund remains such an extremely attractive long-term opportunity for income-focused investors.
PFF: 40 Big-Yield Preferred Funds, Compared
Preferred Stocks are often misunderstood. They can grab the attention of income-focused investors because of their big yields, but beyond that—many investors just don’t understand how they work. In this report, we review the nuances of preferred stocks (that investors absolutely need to know), and then share data on 40 big-yield preferred stock funds, with a special focus on PFF, plus a few more in particular that are worth considering. We conclude with our opinion on who might want to invest, and how best to go about doing that.
9.6% Yield BDC: Risks and Rewards Increasing
The business development company (“BDC”) we review in this report is attractive to many income-focused investors (the current yield is 9.6%, paid quarterly). However, the entire BDC industry is facing growing challenges as the benefits of rising interest rates are increasingly offset by the challenges (portfolio company defaults) caused by an economy headed towards recession. In this report, we review the company (including an overview of the business, the current market dynamics, dividend strength, valuation and risks) and then conclude with our opinion on investing.
Attractive Sector CEF: 7.0% Yield, Discounted Price
The CEF we review in this report is attractive for a variety of reasons, including its big monthly distribution payments (which have never once been reduced since the fund’s inception in 2014), its discounted price (it trades ~10.0% below NAV), its reasonable use of leverage (~20.0%) and its compelling sector-specific holdings. We review all the details in this report, and conclude with our opinion on who might want to invest.
JEPI: 11.7% Yield ETF, Critical Points Worth Considering
We recently received an inquiry from a member about the popular JP Morgan Equity Income Premium ETF (JEPI). It’s a very popular ETF thanks to its very high current yield (11.7%) which is paid monthly, and its notably lower volatility than the S&P 500 (it was down a lot less than the S&P 500 in 2022). In this report, we review all the critical JEPI details and then conclude with our opinion about investing in this very popular big-yield ETF.
SCHD: 100 Top-Dividend Growth Stocks, These 3 Worth Considering
Dividend growth stocks are particularly compelling in the current market environment because many of them have ample financial wherewithal to easily survive the Fed’s recent sharp interest rates hikes (whereas a lot of volatile pure-growth stocks do not). In this report, we explain the construction methodology behind the popular 100-stock Charles Schwab US Dividend ETF (SCHD), including data on all 100 stocks in that fund. Then we review three specific stocks from SCHD that are particularly attractive. We conclude with a critically important takeaway about the attractiveness (and risks) of investing in specific dividend-growth stocks in the current market environment.
Powerful Dividend Growth: Attractive Mega-Cap Stock, Underappreciated
A lot of investors still think of this mega-cap stock as a high-growth opportunity. In reality, it’s a stable value stock with an impressive track record of dividend growth, and the shares are trading at a compelling valuation. The current yield remains low because the share price has risen even faster than the dividend over the years. In this report, we review the business, competitive advantages, growth trajectory, cash flows, dividend, share repurchases, valuation and risks. We conclude with our opinion on who might want to invest.
Compelling 8.2% Yield, Consumer Staples Stock
You might think a stock yielding over 8% is a red flag (perhaps a company in distress), but the one we review in this report is surprisingly compelling if you are an income-focused investor. The industry is in a slow secular decline, but revenues and the dividend are set to keep growing steadily and the shares offer some margin of safety relative to the current valuation. In this report, we review the business, consider the cash flows (including dividends and share repurchases), the valuation and the risks. We conclude with our opinion on investing.
Railcars: 3.8% Yield, 10+ Years Dividend Growth
With the economy still barreling towards recession (courtesy of high inflation and interest rate hikes), the industrials company (focused on railcars) that we review in this report is attractive for a variety of reasons, including its stable cash flows, ongoing long-term growth potential, hard assets (book value), operational efficiencies, attractive current valuation and its 10+ year history of dividend growth (the current yield is 3.8%). We review all the details in this report, and then conclude with our opinion on investing.