The Blue Harbinger Weekly — Blue Harbinger Investment Research

Quick Note: New Purchase (Disciplined Growth Portfolio)

We added a starter position in this high-growth mid-cap stock. The share price has significant momentum and so do the underlying fundamentals of the company. The company’s new AI-powered mobile solution (released ahead of schedule on Thursday 9/26) should keep revenues growing rapidly as it's purpose build for today’s marketers.

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AI-Powered Marketing Software Stock: Disruptive Growth

The Artificial intelligence revolution is still just getting started, and some industries are set to benefit more than others. For example, the AI-powered marketing software company we review in this report has a lot of momentum right now, including rapidly rising revnues, a large market opportunity, competitive advantages, a compelling new mobile solution, healthy financials, solid leadership and new tailwinds from lower interest rates. After reviewing the company, including opportunities and risks, we conclude with our strong opinion on investing.

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Despite Big Risks, 14.2% Yield BDC Worth Considering

BDCs are often an income-investor favorite because of their large dividend yields. And the BDC we review in this report stands out for its 14.2% yield (which is larger than many peers). However, the higher yield comes with higher risks (for example, net investment income just barely matched the dividend last quarter and the 0.88x price-to-book value suggests the market may be beginning to price in a dividend cut—especially considering 85% of their investments are floating rate while they also have a signifcant amount of fixed rate debts of their own). In this report, we reveiw the BDC and conclude with our opinion on investing.

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New Purchase: Disciplined Growth Portfolio

Quick Note: We have added back shares of this “fallen angel” AI stock mainly because the risk-reward and valuation metrics appear very compelling, despite high uncertainty and high short sales. The share price could get worse before it gets better, but if you like to buy profitable high-growth businesses with a long runway for growth, this one is compelling.

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Big-Yield BDC Comps: ARCC, MAIN, OBDC, OCSL

A lot of income-focused investors are attracted to BDCs for their large dividend yields. However, not all BDCs are created equally. In the following table you will see comparative data for top BDCs, including the percent of investments that have fixed-versus-floating rates, the percent of debt they have that is fixed-versus-floating rate, price-to-book value, current dividend yields and the percent of first lien loans they have made as investments.

Blue Owl Merger: BDC Storm Clouds Ahead, 11.9% Yield

The recently announced merger between Blue Owl’s two publicly-traded BDCs (OBDC) and (OBDE) is a warning sign that investors should heed. In particular, the combination between OBDC (flagship) with OBDE (slightly-more-conservative) is a precautionary step. Here is how we expect it to play out for Blue Owl and for the BDC industry in general.

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