Since the depths of the initial coronavirus selloff in 2020, the market has climbed dramatically higher, and the ascent has been even more dramatic for top growth stocks. In light of these dramatic price gains, many investors are getting nervous and wondering if they should dump their high growth stocks altogether in order to avoid a potential market selloff that media fear mongers warn us of daily. Of course, what you do with your own investment dollars is up to you entirely. We’d never advocate for blindly buying all growth stocks in general, but we do believe their continues to be an ample supply of individual high growth businesses that are worth investing in regardless of what happens to the overall market indexes. And in this report, we countdown our top 10 high growth stocks, starting with #10 and finishing with our #1 top idea.
Market Overview:
Before getting into the countdown, it is worth reviewing some high level data to provide a backdrop for our rankings.
First, here is a look at the performance of the S&P 500 as well as the Russell 1000 large cap Growth index and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100. Clearly overall performance has been very strong since the initial pandemic selloff in early 2020. And the strong performance has been even more pronounced for “growth-ier” stocks.
Next, here is a look at the performance of the S&P 500 versus its P/E ratio. While performance continues to be strong, valuations (as measured by price-to-earnings) is getting relatively expensive (an indication to some investors that the market is getting expensive).
source: YCharts, as of 2/18/2021
However, not all stocks are created equally, and it would be a great disservice to value everything on P/E ratio alone. For example, top growth stocks often have very little earnings (by design) because they are spending heavily on growth (which is often the right thing to do to take advantage of market opportunities and to maximize long-term value). Rather, price-to-sales ratio can be a more prudent valuation metric in these growth stock cases. To put this in perspective, here is a look at the recent performance and price to sales ratios of growth stocks with the highest revenue growth trajectories.
(image source: StockRover, as of 2/18/2021)
As the table above shows, many of these top growth stocks (with very strong 1-year price performance and very high expected revenue growth), look “beyond-absurd” on a P/E basis (because most of them have negative earnings), but are at least somewhat rational and comparable on a price-to-sales ratio basis. To conceptualize the price-to-sales valuation metric, it can be helpful to consider the ratio in relation to sales growth rates because a high sales growth rate can quickly bring a higher price-to-sale ratio considerably lower (to a more reasonable level) in a matter of quarters or years.
And it is critically important to note, unlike the “Tech Bubble” of the late 1990’s and early 2000, many top growth stocks today have very real revenues that are growing very rapidly and have very long runways for continued high growth. These are real businesses and the stocks can make you a lot of money if you select them right.
For a little more perspective, we’ve had a lot of success selecting high growth stocks over the last decade, and particularly over the last two years, as you can see in our Disciplined Growth Portfolio performance data below.
Top 10 High Growth Stocks
With that backdrop in mind, and without further ado, here is our ranking of Top 10 high growth stocks, starting with #10 and counting down to our #1 top idea.
10. Unity Software (U)
Unity Software provides tools to videogame developers. The company completed its initial public offering in September, and the share price had been strong. However, the shares sold off significantly following the company’s recent earnings announcement at the start of this month. Specifically, Unity beat earnings (and revenue) expectations, but provided lower than expected forward guidance causing the market to react negatively.
source: YCharts, data as of 2/18/2021
Unity’s forward growth expectations still remain high (26.8% per StockRover) and the total addressable market is large (which means the company has a long runway for years of high growth ahead). The shares trade at around 26.25x forward sales (see chart above), and the recent selloff has created an attractive entry point in our view. If you are looking to buy high growth after a short-term pullback, Unity is worth considering. You can read our previous full write-up on Unity here:
9. Alibaba (BABA)
Shares of this Chinese internet juggernaut (sometimes referred to as the Amazon (AMZN) of China) have gotten slammed in recent months as the company is reported to have fallen out of favor with the Chinese government, and the much anticipated IPO of its fintech holdings (Ant Group) was sacked. However, Alibaba remains an incredibly undervalued massive money printing machine, especially as its impressive cloud business continues to grow rapidly.
For a little perspective, here is a look at the recent share price performance (solid black line) as compared to the analyst ratings (93% “Buy” ratings by the 57 analysts reporting to Factset) and aggregate price target ($328.88, dotted line) suggesting the shares are more than 22% undervalued.
However, Alibaba has significantly more long-term upside than these conservative near-term analyst price targets suggest. At only 7.4 times sales, these shares are simply trading way too inexpensively, even for a Chinese business. You can read our previous full report on Alibaba (for the details of our long-term thesis) here:
8. Magnite (MGNI)
Magnite is already a “five-bagger” for us in 5 months, as the shares of this digital advertising sell-side platform have soared in the wake of the market’s rightful love affair with the future possibilities of connected TV advertising.
source: YCharts, data as of 2/18/2021
Without a doubt, these shares are highly volatile and risky, but incredibly—they’re still relatively cheap on a price-to-sales ratio basis (as compared to growth) if the company can actually deliver on all the hype (the company is expected to announce earnings on Wednesday 2/24). MGNI’s recent acquisition of SpotX is a step in the right direction. We’ve already taken significant Magnite profits (at around $60) as the shares quickly grew to an oversized position in our Disciplined Growth Portfolio, but we remain long some shares, and are expecting a very volatile long-term ride that skews sharply higher. You can read our recent Magnite full report, about this massive opportunity, here:
7. Palantir (PLTR)
Palantir is a data analytics software company that has only traded publicly for about six months. However, it’s already a highly seasoned veteran business considering its very “hard to get” long-term highly-secretive contracts with the US government. Palantir’s 22.6x price-to-sales ratio is lofty, but not when you compare it to its 28.7% expected sales growth rate over the next year and combined with its massive long-term total addressable market.
source: YCharts, data as of 2/18/2021
We are long shares of Palantir at a lower average price, but the shares have again become attractive following the recent post-earnings announcement sell off. Specifically, the markets expectations were brought back down to earth by the very strong (but not as strong as some people hoped) earnings announcement. And in fact, Wall Street analysts actually raised their price targets after earnings (even though the share price sold off). If you want to get a better understanding of what this business actually does, you can access our previous very detailed full report here:
6. Bandwidth (BAND)
An attractive high-growth business trading at a compelling valuation, Bandwidth is a CPaaS (Communication Platform as a Service) solutions provider that offers a suite of software APIs (to support the mission-critical communications needs of a diverse and impressive set of enterprise-grade customers that includes the likes of Google (GOOGL), Microsoft (MSFT), Zoom (ZM), Arlo (ARLO), and RingCentral (RNG), to name a few). Not to mention Bandwidth’s owned IP network provides scalability, reliability, major cost savings and uniquely positions it for success.
(image source: StockRover, data as of 2/18/2021)
Specifically, Bandwidth is well-positioned to take advantage of the large secular growth opportunities ahead. To get a better understanding of this business, members can read our previous full report and investment thesis here.
*Honorable Mention: Fubo (FUBO)
FuboTV is a “sports first” streaming platform with a very high growth trajectory and a large total addressable market (i.e. lots of room to run). Specifically, it is benefiting from the the secular decline in traditional TV, the shift to connected TV advertising, and the potential growth in online sports wagering.
We don’t currently own shares of Fubo, but it is very high on our watchlist, and we are including it here as an “honorable mention.” You can read our full report on Fubo here.
5. Teladoc (TDOC)
Telahealth companies Teladoc and Livongo were both on fire with growth when their merger was announced late last year, and the market’s love affair with these businesses slowed. And even though the valuation metrics fell, the high growth rate and large total addressable market did not.
Teladoc shares recently got their groove back and have posted strong gains so far this year, but still have significantly more upside as the high growth rate and relatively lower price-to-sales ratio makes it attractive. It’s also attractive because telahealth is a large growing market and TDOC is the leader. You can access our previous reports on Teladoc (and Livongo) here:
4. Oak Street Health (OSH)
Oak Street Health (OSH) is a recently public company (August 2020) that is on a tremendous growth trajectory as it delivers its highly differentiated, technology-enabled, value-based care model for Medicare. The continuing growth opportunities stem from the rapid shift of patients to value-based care and increasing patient consumerism.
source: YCharts, as of 2/18/2012
You can access our recent full report on Oak Street Health here:
3. Crowdstrike (CRWD)
Crowdstrike is a cybersecurity business with a very high growth trajectory and a large total addressable market. And in the wake of never ending cyber breaches (such as the recent Solar Winds hack), cybersecurity is a must have for every enterprise.
We especially like the subscription model of the service considering cybersecurity isn’t something a company can justify getting rid of. For some background information, you can read our previous write up on Crowdstrike here.
2. Enphase (ENPH)
Growth, growth and more growth. Enphase is simply attractive. The company designs, develops, manufactures, and sells home energy solutions for the solar photovoltaic industry in the United States and internationally. Specifically, Enphase offers semiconductor-based microinverters, which convert energy at the individual solar module level, and combines with its proprietary networking and software technologies to provide energy monitoring and control services. It also offers AC battery storage systems; Envoy communications gateway; and Enlighten cloud-based monitoring service, as well as other accessories.
source: YCharts, data as of 2/18/2021
Enphase has estimated the serviceable addressable market (SAM) for its products going from $3.3 billion in 2019 to $12.5 billion in 2022. And it likely has significantly more growth beyond that. Analyst have been raising their price targets on this one rapidly (see the dotted line in the graphic below), but they still haven’t raised them nearly high enough relatively to the long-term growth potential.
This is an attractive company in an attractive industry at an attractive time. We are currently long shares of Enphase in our Disciplined Growth Portfolio.
1. Square (SQ)
Simply put, Square shares are dramatically underpriced relative to their long-term value, and we expect dramatic price gains in the years ahead as revenue continues to increase rapidly.
If you don’t know, Square is a payments company. It divides its business into two main segments, “Cash App” and its “Seller Ecosystem.” And while Cash App has been strong, the seller ecosystem presents massive pent up growth from the temporary negative impacts of the coronavirus pandemic that forced many small business to shut their doors. The company has a huge total addressable market in both segments, a very high growth rate (expected at 36.6% in the year ahead), and a very attractive valuation (16.9x price-to-sales, which is very low relative to other high growth businesses).
We currently own shares of Square in our Blue Harbinger Disciplined Growth Portfolio, and believe the share price will increase dramatically in the quarters and years ahead.
Conclusion.
If you are a long-term growth investor, there remains plenty of opportunities to make a lot of money in the years ahead. Despite the constant chorus of market bubble fear-mongers, the opportunities are attractive. Many investors simply do not understand that it is a very good thing for a lot of high growth businesses to have zero net income because it means they are focused on growth and long-term value maximization. Our Blue Harbinger Disciplined Growth Portfolio continues to put up strong market-beating returns, and you can view the current holdings here.